How Random Is Random?

This Chap is led to ask the question by his recent international travel experience, which involved TSA’s “Random” testing, of some sort, both departing and returning. And while the Chap was standing there watching his handbag being swabbed, he began to wonder — what are the odds that true “Random” testing would lead to two “Random” checks in a journey? Flattering though it may be for someone in the Gubmint to consider the Chap warrants additional scrutiny, the statistician in him got to wondering… Or to put it another way, at what point on encountering yet another request to “step to the side” might a Chap question the uniformed person’s assertion of “randomness”?

Just as a side note – my spell checker just suggested that uniformed was incorrectly spelt and suggested uninformed. This chap thinks that in many cases they might be synonyms?

To continue! Now, this Chap’s statistics are of a more specialized, psychological-type thing. Fortunately, the Other Chap, being a certified Math Whiz, may be presumed to have the Chops to figure this one out. We have every confidence. So, take it away, Maestro!

No pressure there then ….

No. None at all.

Have to see that this chap was immediately reminded of another chap, back in the 70s when hijacking was prevalent – including bombs on board. Turns out his knowledge of stats was – to say the least – rudimentary.

Go On

Well, I wasn’t intending to stop!

Anyway, suffice to say, said chap had yet another chap as a good friend who was very fearful of flying in these times. To quote him ….

I am so afraid of flying these days. I just don’t want to fly knowing there is such a high probability of a bomb being on board the plane and that I might die.

The statistician had a think and came up with his solution, suggesting that all the other chap needed to do was always carry his own bomb with him …. because though the chance of one bomb being hidden on a plane was getting higher every day … the chance of two bombs … well now – that was close to zero. Problem solved.

Wow. Brilliant. Did it work?

Graham. Seriously? Now I see why you reached out!

As far as I can see, the stats support the idea that as far as random selection is concerned there is indeed reason to be suspicious, but still in the area of possibility. Now – next time you go through LHR – and you are pulled aside, it might well suggest that there is something more than randomness going on.

Pick a person. Any person. Just not me, again.

Sometimes You Overlook The Obvious

This chap just had a read of this. It is a Russian propaganda guide to stealing your roommates Burrito.

It struck him that they missed the obvious one:

“Roommate mysteriously falls from radioactive park bench, dies of broken neck. D-Notice issued.”

Never eschew the obvious. Or the unbelievable. Both can defeat the application of Occam’s Razor. Not that it can’t be misapplied, of course…

Continue reading “Sometimes You Overlook The Obvious”

Secret Bilderberg Meetings

This particular chap had never heard of the Bilderberg Meetings …. and has to say right out of the box … it isn’t the meetings that are secret … they have a web site that tells you all about them. Well – at least when they were held, who was there and who runs them. It’s just what was discussed that seems to be kept under wraps.

And that is all well and good … I mean … even if we wanted to know everything about everything that goes on in the world – well – we just couldn’t – could we?

For example … the 65th and latest meeting occurred just this past June.

The World Order connected through Bilderberg

The names involved include only 4 names from the tech community .. Continue reading “Secret Bilderberg Meetings”

Build The Wall Or Build The Hedge

Build The Hedge

Thanks to Atlas Obscura for this obscure fact in the atlas …

The British Once Built a 1,100-Mile Hedge Through the Middle of India

Build The Hedge
Illustration By Nigel Sussman via Atlas Obscura

Telling … and maybe a lesson for the ‘wall’ advocates ….

Through the whole of its existence, the Great Hedge of India was beset by difficulties and never quite accomplished its purpose.

The article is worth a read if only for such lines as ..

More than a century later, the writer Moxham went looking for traces of this living monument to British hegemony and persistence.

Lost In Translation

This chap took this picture in a little town called Los Algodones – a Mexican border town about 10 minutes from Yuma – including crossing the border. So yes – I know what they were trying to say ….


Sizing Up The Opposition

 My nuclear button is bigger than your nuclear button

Yes, it’s come to this. Diplomacy, reality-show-host style.

In the end, and we do mean ‘The End’, isn’t the “my missile is bigger than your missile” debate pretty irrelevant?

Yes – if not proof absolute that ‘size really does not matter’.

Fascism and Communism

There is an old joke ….

“What is the Difference between Fascism and Communism?”

“Fascism is the exploitation of man by man … Communism is the other way round.”

“The 20th century was mankind’s most brutal century. Roughly 16 million people lost their lives during World War I; about 60 million died during World War II. Wars during the 20th century cost an estimated 71 million to 116 million lives.”

BUT

The number of war dead pales in comparison with the number of people who lost their lives at the hands of their own governments.

AND

The People’s Republic of China tops the list, with 76 million lives lost at the hands of the government from 1949 to 1987. The Soviet Union follows, with 62 million lives lost from 1917 to 1987. Adolf Hitler’s Nazi German government killed 21 million people between 1933 and 1945. Then there are lesser murdering regimes, such as Nationalist China, Japan, Turkey, Vietnam and Mexico. According to Rummel’s research, the 20th century saw 262 million people’s lives lost at the hands of their own governments.

Read The whole article by Walter E Williams here.

I believe the original compared capitalism and communism, but, details, details…

Well, not sure we have been overly concerned with those before? But thank-you for the clarification nit-picking.

While communism is a system based around a theory of economic equality and advocates for a classless society, fascism is a nationalistic, top-down system with rigid class roles that is ruled by an all-powerful dictator.

Diffen.com